Fed rate probability and expected move
The Gold Hunter Fed Rate module summarizes the current target range, the highest-probability expected range, probability and expected move in basis points.
Open live dashboardWhy rates matter for gold
Lower expected rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, while higher expected rates can raise it. The actual market reaction also depends on real yields, inflation expectations and the U.S. dollar.
What the module shows
Current rate
The prevailing Federal Reserve target range.
Expected range
The target range with the highest market-implied probability.
Probability
The estimated chance assigned to that range.
Expected move
The difference shown in basis points.
Interpreting gold impact
“Bullish” or “bearish” describes the usual rate-direction relationship, not a guaranteed gold-price outcome.